Long live the Republic? Or just the Republicans?

So I'm still wrestling with the Senate deal on filibusters of judicial nominees. Three of them are likely to slip through, two of them are dead, and two of them are up in the air. The filibuster lives on for judicial nomination battles in "extraordinary circumstances," but the 7 moderate Republicans can still go nuclear if the Democrats use the filibuster in "ordinary" circumstances. So all we've really done is punt the issue for another time -- likely when there's a Supreme Court battle.

Was this a victory for the Dems? Or a capitulation? Or neither? Who wins and loses here?